Driverless Investing by Tim McCollough

Driverless Investing by Tim McCollough

Duolingo

quick update

Tim McCollough's avatar
Tim McCollough
Jul 28, 2025
∙ Paid

Duolingo stock is having a rough go. Down 7% today. Down 37% from all-time highs a couple months ago. Not nice!

But what I found was the stock is crashing based on a report that DAU (daily active user) growth was crashing from +57% annual growth (in March) to +37% growth (in June). First, 37% annual growth is pretty darn good. But, the “consensus” is for Duolingo to grow daily users by 44%. And since stock prices are a function of expectations, DUOL 0.00%↑ is crashing.

I did some digging into who and how the DAU report was generated, and I came away thinking the report should be taken with many grains of salt.

We won’t know for sure about user growth until August when Duolingo reports its official update.

A few things:

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